Saturday, July 30, 2011

Magic figure 3 in Bollywood


Now a days, most of the bollywood movies which are about friends will have generally three characters only unlike the old days where it used to be two characters like Jay-Veeru days or many of those in that  generation. Since Dil Chahta hai, we have 3 Idiots, Pyaar Ka Punchnama and recent releases Delhi Belly and Jindagi na milegi dobara. We had movies like Dhamaal or Golmaal series also where number of characters was more but these movies were just plain comedy unlike the earlier ones which revolve around the individual lives of each of the characters. Now why three? There can be multiple reasons – First the story keeps revolving around three lives thus making it less boring for the audience. Second, many facets of life in the story can be covered for which 3 is ideal as more than 3 can make a clutter of the movie. Third, Producers can be more bankable on more number of characters.
Obviously for a movie to be hit, the story has to be good but as of now movies based on friendship and revolving around three characters are very popular.

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Criticality of land in recent days

The whole infrastructure sector is grappling with a big issue known as land acquisition. Many projects from Power to Steel are not able to add capacities because of this issue. Recent one is the Greater Noida case. Bottom line is that land is the most critical factor for any project, if it involves forest land then additional clearances required for the project.  Anyway, we will just stick to the issue of non forest land acquisition.

Though the issue is present since long back but it has come to main front post Singur and Nandigram issue.  Any land acquisition involves fair land compensation which involves both the amount & disbursement process i.e. upfront or annuity basis and balanced resettlement and rehabilitation. These two form the core of any successful land acquisition process.
A few other factors should also be taken into consideration during land acquisition process, which are very important as they are equally capable in derailing the whole process.


First, any project requires a certain area and it acquires that much only i.e. compensation is paid to the owner of that much land only whereas the owners of the neighboring area do not get any compensation. Now if the compensation is good, which is generally the case in these days, then these people get a good amount of money overnight. Now consider any village where the compensation beneficiaries is only 5 % and remaining do not get anything, then these 95 % people will feel themselves as left behind and will not think positive about the project.  It is very important for the company just not to consider the land owners but also the neighbors so that in future disruptions do not take place. So a plan at the beginning only should be made with the help of village top people and state officials to showcase the benefits of the plant / project and opening up of certain facilities like medical facilities, water facilities which will contribute a lot in creating a positive impact on the neighborhood.


Second very important factor is the learning from Singur / Nandigram. Whenever State Government is planning for any development project, it should take the major opposition party into confidence. Rather than taking the whole credit for development, it should take the opposition in its side and proceed with the land acquisition.  If this is done then any issue during the process will not get any political color and can be resolved in a much easier way.


If the above factors can be taken into consideration, then land acquisition process can be a smooth process without any major issue.

Thursday, July 7, 2011

Education loan in India

Though effective interest rate in case of home loan and education will be a bit lower on account of tax benefits but still education loan is the costliest in India.

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Credit history & Interest rates

I often get amused by the ways bank charges interest rate to different customers (In India, this practice is not present for the individual customer) depending upon the credit history. Credit history affecting the sanctioned loan amount seems OK but affecting the interest rate is strange. A customer with poor credit history will have to pay a higher interest rate than the one who is having a good credit report considering other parameters i.e. terms of payment remaining constant. This seems strange. Though I understand that this is because of the risk premium charged to the poor credit history customers but this makes them even more vulnerable to default. I also understand that the risk premium is calculated based on the person capacity to pay so that he does not default but why not charge him the normal interest rate so that he can pay even in easier terms. If at all the risk premium is the hedging strategy for the bad debt caused by some defaulting customers then the bad debt i.e. the defaults itself can be reduced if we keep the interest rate low.

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Last Chance for image makeover of Indian Power Sector

Post Dabhol issue, there was not much investment in the power sector from the foreign investors unlike the oil sector which draws attention from foreign like Cairns etc. Power business is certainly a profitable venture considering the huge demand supply gap in India which is predicted to be continued for another 25 years. Still the sector has not drawn foreign Independent Power Producers (IPPs). The reason for this is the various risks, mostly political risks associated with setting up a power project.

Now, Government is taking some steps to boost the sector through its initiative of setting up of Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs). Now UMPPs are seeing bidding from major Indian power producers but not yet from a foreign IPP. Though lot of foreign capital is coming into the sector indirectly through FII but no player has come directly to invest into the sector.

These UMPPs are going to play that crucial role which can make or break India’s image for future investment in power sector. If the successful bidders, Tata Power, Reliance Energy as of now can run the UMPPs successfully then the future scenario of power sector will be very positive.

Government should take care that these UMPPs should fulfil all the objectives for which they are planned to be created.

The latest row happening of AP govt complaining of no development on Krishnapatnam UMPP. Even Sasan and Tilaiya UMPPs are also facing delays. Earlier, Issues like Reliance Power selling excess coal allotted in Sasan and Tilaiya UMPP and Tata Power filing a case against Government for giving preferential treatment to RPower have cropped up which is not good for the sector. The tariff based competitive bidding is a very transparent process and that should not be diluted by these kinds of allegations. Ideally the excess coal should be given to Coal India’s account. Giving the excess coal to Reliance Power has changed the whole economics of the tariff quotation. Reliance had quoted very low tariffs for the Sasan and Tiliaya UMPPs. The permission to utilize the excess coal in its other projects has given an advantageous position.

It is very necessary for the Government to take extreme precautions while handling UMPP related decisions. As many as 16 UMPPs are planned to be set up which amounts to 64000MW with an investment of Rs320000Cr. The whole world is having its eyes on it. Mishandling with it will create another Post Dabhol years where we failed in significant capacity additions.

Successful completion of bid of UMPPs is a small step, the major job of Government lies ahead when it has to monitor the successful implementation of the projects in a transparent way so that all the stakeholders i.e. IPP, consumers, all concerned utilities and the Government himself gets benefitted thereby attracting global power producers.

Saturday, July 10, 2010

Movie Impact

This post might not go down very well with some of the readers. Here I want to point out our affinity towards western culture. The English slangs like “F*** ,A**h***” have become very common in our social life so much so, that using them are considered fashionable now a days. Whereas the hindi equivalents are considered very down market. One person who uses the F word will be considered a stylish one and if the same guy uses the hindi meaning of F word he will be taken as a road chaap guy. Now why is it so? It is all because of the movie effect on our society. Every hollywood movie is full of these words. Even the lead actor and actress use these words in their normal/casual conversation. But in bollywood, it does not happen. What I would like to say that IF the hindi equivalents find places in normal bollywood movies then who knows these hindi words might also be considered fashionable in near future.

Note – I am not supporting slangs in any language or in any form, it is just an opinion.